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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.45+5.94vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.32+10.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.14+10.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+7.30vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.69+5.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.39+1.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.46+4.23vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.24+0.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.90+0.29vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.27+6.50vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.72+3.62vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.00-3.13vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94-3.80vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.25-1.17vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-2.61vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.90-2.05vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.45-10.01vs Predicted
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18Brown University2.63-11.87vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College1.15-6.30vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-9.04vs Predicted
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21Bates College-1.38-0.41vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.02-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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13.2Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
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11.3Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
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10.38Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.2Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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11.23Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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16.5University of South Florida0.270.0%1st Place
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14.62Dartmouth College0.720.0%1st Place
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8.87Northeastern University2.000.1%1st Place
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9.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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12.83Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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13.95University of Michigan0.900.0%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.7Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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20.59Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
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17.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bonauto | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Nevel | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Saleta Powell | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 7.5% |
| Connor Vogel | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emily Pytell | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 2.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 11.8% | 68.7% |
| Nicholas Dreyer | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 26.9% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.