← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.39+6.29vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.51+9.20vs Predicted
-
3Boston University1.25+9.69vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont1.32+8.13vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.45+2.02vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+3.24vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.90+2.15vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.24-0.01vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.00-0.08vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.15+2.76vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.45-4.23vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.63-5.93vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University1.46-1.51vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College0.72+1.14vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan0.90-0.64vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University1.69-5.74vs Predicted
-
17Brown University1.14-3.89vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-7.32vs Predicted
-
19Salve Regina University1.31-7.09vs Predicted
-
20University of South Florida0.27-3.30vs Predicted
-
21Bates College-1.38-0.41vs Predicted
-
22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.02-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.29Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
-
11.2Tufts University1.510.0%1st Place
-
12.69Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
-
12.13University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
7.02Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
-
9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
-
9.15Tufts University1.900.1%1st Place
-
7.99University of Rhode Island2.240.1%1st Place
-
8.92Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
-
12.76Connecticut College1.150.0%1st Place
-
6.77Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.07Brown University2.630.1%1st Place
-
11.49Roger Williams University1.460.0%1st Place
-
15.14Dartmouth College0.720.0%1st Place
-
14.36University of Michigan0.900.0%1st Place
-
10.26Harvard University1.690.0%1st Place
-
13.11Brown University1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
-
11.91Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
16.7University of South Florida0.270.0%1st Place
-
20.59Bates College-1.380.0%1st Place
-
17.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bonauto | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shea Smith | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Glasson | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Nevel | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Connor Vogel | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 4.0% |
| Emily Pytell | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Helen Horangic | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Peter McGonagle | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Saleta Powell | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 20.5% | 8.6% |
| Gray Dinsel | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 68.2% |
| Nicholas Dreyer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 26.7% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.