Race 2A

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Scott Harris 16.6% 15.6% 14.1% 13.5% 12.5% 10.3% 7.5% 4.2% 2.9% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Emma Shakespeare 4.1% 5.0% 6.6% 6.7% 7.3% 9.1% 8.8% 11.0% 13.2% 12.4% 10.6% 5.2%
Atlee Kohl 19.1% 16.7% 15.5% 14.5% 11.9% 9.2% 6.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 1.2% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.6% 4.4% 5.5% 7.8% 9.9% 11.9% 20.8% 27.5%
Gordon Gurnell 6.5% 9.1% 9.1% 9.6% 10.8% 10.0% 10.2% 11.1% 9.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.2%
Max Anker 16.7% 13.7% 15.0% 13.4% 12.7% 9.0% 7.8% 6.5% 2.6% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Mateo Rodriguez 14.7% 14.8% 14.4% 12.8% 9.7% 11.4% 9.4% 6.3% 3.9% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Sean Tallman 9.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.8% 9.4% 11.6% 11.1% 11.0% 8.2% 6.1% 3.0% 1.7%
Gregory Walters 3.7% 3.4% 4.8% 6.5% 8.0% 9.9% 10.9% 10.5% 13.5% 11.1% 11.1% 6.6%
Ian Street 3.3% 2.9% 3.6% 3.3% 4.7% 6.2% 7.7% 9.4% 10.4% 16.4% 16.3% 15.8%
Carolina Cassedy 2.6% 4.0% 2.7% 5.4% 6.3% 5.8% 8.7% 11.8% 13.4% 13.6% 12.8% 12.9%
Roberto Martelli 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 2.3% 3.1% 3.1% 6.2% 6.1% 11.1% 15.4% 18.0% 27.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.