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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.80vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.48+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+4.29vs Predicted
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4The Citadel1.11+3.59vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.54-0.92vs Predicted
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6Florida State University2.38-1.62vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.84-1.40vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina0.72+0.47vs Predicted
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9Rollins College0.37+0.30vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.80vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.75-4.89vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.95-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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4.16College of Charleston2.480.2%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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7.59The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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4.08North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.38Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.6Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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8.47University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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9.3Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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9.2Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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6.11Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.02Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 19.3% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Anker | 15.5% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| Scott Harris | 16.2% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 14.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sean Tallman | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Ian Street | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 17.9% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 26.3% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 20.0% | 26.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.