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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.48+3.24vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.84+3.75vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University2.54+1.05vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.37+5.33vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24+2.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.72+2.62vs Predicted
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7The Citadel1.11+0.48vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.38-3.64vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.66-5.36vs Predicted
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10Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.85vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.75-4.90vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.95-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24College of Charleston2.480.2%1st Place
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5.75Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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4.05North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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9.33Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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7.27University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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8.62University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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7.48The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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4.36Florida State University2.380.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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9.15Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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6.1Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.03Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Anker | 15.8% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Tallman | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Scott Harris | 18.3% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 29.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 6.4% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 16.9% | 17.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 7.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 15.5% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 18.4% | 21.1% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 25.6% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.