Race 5A

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Gordon Gurnell 6.6% 8.8% 8.2% 8.5% 9.4% 12.3% 12.4% 10.7% 10.0% 6.7% 4.8% 1.6%
Atlee Kohl 17.3% 18.0% 16.1% 15.1% 11.5% 7.1% 7.0% 4.4% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 5.8% 8.5% 7.2% 10.1% 12.6% 11.9% 14.0% 9.4% 5.1%
Scott Harris 15.9% 17.0% 14.5% 16.0% 10.5% 10.2% 6.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Roberto Martelli 1.3% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 3.3% 4.7% 6.0% 7.3% 10.5% 13.1% 16.6% 29.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 15.8% 10.7% 14.7% 14.4% 11.8% 12.0% 7.9% 6.2% 3.4% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Max Anker 16.4% 16.6% 14.6% 11.9% 10.8% 10.5% 8.0% 5.1% 2.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3%
Gregory Walters 4.6% 5.5% 5.5% 4.9% 6.6% 8.4% 8.7% 11.4% 11.8% 12.0% 13.6% 7.0%
Hilton Kamps 1.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.1% 4.2% 3.4% 7.8% 8.4% 10.2% 14.4% 18.5% 25.6%
Sean Tallman 9.0% 7.9% 10.7% 9.4% 11.1% 12.2% 10.1% 9.9% 9.4% 5.7% 3.5% 1.1%
Ian Street 3.2% 1.7% 2.5% 4.4% 5.7% 4.5% 7.5% 9.1% 12.4% 14.2% 17.1% 17.7%
Carolina Cassedy 3.5% 4.1% 3.1% 4.7% 6.6% 7.5% 7.7% 11.0% 12.6% 12.3% 14.6% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.