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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Atlee Kohl 18.8% 16.1% 15.1% 14.1% 12.5% 8.0% 7.8% 4.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Emma Shakespeare 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 7.3% 6.7% 8.6% 11.4% 10.9% 13.0% 12.1% 9.3% 6.6%
Max Anker 17.5% 13.2% 12.6% 13.4% 13.3% 9.8% 8.0% 6.9% 3.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Scott Harris 16.5% 16.8% 15.8% 13.8% 10.2% 9.6% 7.7% 3.6% 4.0% 1.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Gregory Walters 2.7% 5.3% 4.9% 7.5% 5.5% 8.3% 9.1% 10.5% 13.3% 12.1% 11.3% 9.5%
Ian Street 3.0% 2.0% 4.2% 4.1% 4.6% 6.1% 5.6% 8.9% 10.6% 16.6% 17.5% 16.8%
Gordon Gurnell 8.2% 8.1% 10.2% 9.6% 8.7% 11.9% 10.4% 11.6% 8.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.3%
Roberto Martelli 1.7% 2.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 6.5% 7.4% 10.3% 12.5% 18.1% 27.0%
Mateo Rodriguez 13.9% 16.1% 15.7% 10.3% 14.4% 9.7% 8.4% 6.1% 2.5% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 1.9% 3.8% 1.7% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 5.5% 7.3% 9.3% 13.3% 19.6% 26.8%
Sean Tallman 8.3% 7.7% 7.8% 10.3% 10.7% 12.1% 11.1% 10.7% 9.7% 6.8% 3.4% 1.4%
Carolina Cassedy 3.5% 3.8% 3.4% 3.4% 6.2% 7.6% 8.5% 12.0% 13.3% 14.0% 14.1% 10.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.