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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+5.31vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.48+1.23vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54+0.01vs Predicted
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5The Citadel1.11+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina0.72+2.61vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.75-1.15vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+1.17vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-4.76vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.37-0.80vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.84-5.13vs Predicted
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12Duke University0.95-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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4.23College of Charleston2.480.2%1st Place
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4.01North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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7.62The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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8.61University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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5.85Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.17Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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4.24Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.2Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.87Eckerd College1.840.1%1st Place
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8.04Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 18.8% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% |
| Max Anker | 17.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 16.5% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Walters | 2.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.5% |
| Ian Street | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 18.1% | 27.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.9% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 26.8% |
| Sean Tallman | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.