← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Max Anker 13.5% 11.5% 15.3% 14.3% 12.7% 10.2% 9.2% 6.7% 3.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Mateo Rodriguez 12.6% 13.3% 13.1% 11.9% 13.9% 10.9% 9.7% 6.0% 4.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 4.8% 4.2% 4.8% 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 10.6% 12.9% 13.4% 12.1% 11.1% 5.6%
Atlee Kohl 15.9% 17.2% 15.2% 14.3% 11.0% 10.0% 6.4% 5.3% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Charlotte Rose 15.6% 15.1% 14.6% 12.7% 11.7% 10.0% 8.0% 5.8% 3.9% 1.1% 1.4% 0.1%
Hilton Kamps 1.9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 4.5% 2.9% 5.5% 5.4% 10.5% 12.5% 19.7% 30.4%
Scott Harris 15.4% 15.7% 14.1% 14.0% 9.7% 10.7% 9.0% 5.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Sean Tallman 9.4% 8.6% 7.8% 9.4% 9.8% 10.7% 12.1% 12.6% 8.2% 6.5% 2.9% 2.0%
Ian Street 1.6% 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 6.4% 7.4% 10.4% 13.5% 16.9% 15.0% 14.8%
Gregory Walters 4.0% 4.0% 5.3% 4.5% 6.5% 9.4% 8.0% 12.5% 13.0% 12.7% 12.3% 7.8%
Roberto Martelli 2.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.9% 4.7% 7.9% 9.9% 14.1% 19.4% 28.9%
Carolina Cassedy 3.2% 4.4% 2.9% 4.2% 5.0% 7.4% 9.4% 9.3% 12.3% 17.2% 14.8% 9.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.