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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.38+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+5.20vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.48+1.17vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.54-0.05vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.37+4.24vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.66-2.19vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College0.75+1.23vs Predicted
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8The Citadel1.11-0.62vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.14vs Predicted
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10Duke University0.95-2.19vs Predicted
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11University of South Carolina0.72-2.40vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.55-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.2University of South Florida1.240.0%1st Place
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4.17College of Charleston2.480.1%1st Place
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3.95North Carolina State University2.540.2%1st Place
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9.24Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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3.81University of Miami2.660.2%1st Place
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8.23Eckerd College0.750.0%1st Place
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7.38The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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9.14Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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7.81Duke University0.950.0%1st Place
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8.6University of South Carolina0.720.0%1st Place
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4.03Jacksonville University2.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Rodriguez | 13.2% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% |
| Max Anker | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Scott Harris | 15.2% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 17.2% | 28.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 19.6% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Robinson | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.2% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% |
| Roberto Martelli | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 21.9% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Ian Street | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 17.3% |
| Charlotte Rose | 16.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.