Race 1B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Axel Stordahl 18.2% 15.7% 16.1% 13.8% 12.1% 9.8% 6.0% 4.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 10.7% 12.4% 12.2% 11.2% 12.3% 11.9% 10.5% 8.2% 6.0% 3.2% 1.4% 0.0%
Matthew King 6.0% 5.1% 5.3% 7.0% 8.1% 8.7% 11.3% 12.4% 15.6% 10.9% 7.7% 1.9%
Adam Larson 13.8% 15.1% 13.6% 13.0% 13.5% 10.4% 7.4% 6.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
David Manley 7.8% 7.2% 8.5% 8.6% 9.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.5% 10.5% 8.7% 3.2% 1.2%
Natalie Aramendia 1.2% 0.8% 0.9% 1.4% 2.3% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 5.6% 10.0% 18.6% 47.9%
Cole Woerner 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 2.7% 3.8% 4.6% 6.9% 9.4% 11.3% 16.8% 20.1% 16.3%
Sydney Monahan 15.0% 14.4% 12.5% 12.2% 10.7% 9.9% 9.4% 6.7% 5.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.0%
Zachary Ward 6.1% 7.2% 9.5% 10.8% 10.0% 10.0% 11.7% 13.0% 10.3% 7.8% 2.7% 0.9%
Joey Meagher 13.8% 15.1% 13.5% 13.5% 11.9% 10.2% 9.0% 6.8% 2.9% 2.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Carly Orhan 2.5% 1.8% 1.8% 3.3% 2.9% 5.4% 5.7% 7.7% 12.4% 17.3% 23.8% 15.4%
Lewis Bragg 2.3% 2.7% 3.1% 2.5% 2.6% 4.7% 6.9% 8.6% 12.7% 17.7% 20.1% 16.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.