Race 2B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Axel Stordahl 18.9% 16.6% 16.8% 12.3% 12.0% 9.4% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Adam Larson 14.7% 16.3% 12.8% 13.1% 11.4% 10.6% 7.1% 7.4% 4.3% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Matthew King 6.1% 4.5% 5.9% 7.6% 7.2% 9.6% 8.8% 13.8% 14.9% 11.3% 7.5% 2.8%
Carly Orhan 1.7% 1.8% 3.0% 2.7% 4.4% 4.4% 7.2% 8.1% 13.1% 16.7% 20.6% 16.3%
David Manley 6.7% 8.8% 8.9% 9.4% 8.4% 11.6% 10.0% 11.9% 10.5% 7.7% 4.6% 1.5%
Eden Nykamp 12.0% 11.4% 10.8% 11.1% 11.5% 11.8% 11.4% 9.0% 5.9% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Cole Woerner 2.6% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 4.2% 4.1% 6.8% 8.4% 10.8% 17.5% 19.8% 17.9%
Lewis Bragg 1.9% 2.9% 4.3% 2.9% 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 8.1% 10.9% 17.4% 20.7% 15.2%
Zachary Ward 6.0% 7.2% 9.0% 9.7% 11.0% 9.9% 13.0% 11.6% 10.2% 8.0% 3.4% 1.0%
Natalie Aramendia 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 2.5% 4.4% 7.8% 10.9% 19.7% 44.5%
Sydney Monahan 13.7% 13.2% 11.5% 13.2% 11.2% 12.3% 10.7% 6.5% 4.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.5%
Joey Meagher 14.8% 13.8% 12.7% 13.1% 12.6% 8.9% 10.0% 6.2% 4.9% 1.8% 1.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.