Race 3B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew King 4.9% 5.4% 6.7% 5.9% 7.6% 8.7% 11.1% 11.9% 15.5% 12.1% 7.4% 2.8%
Adam Larson 14.0% 15.6% 13.4% 12.4% 13.5% 11.7% 7.4% 5.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 14.3% 11.9% 12.6% 11.8% 14.8% 10.4% 11.3% 6.8% 3.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Zachary Ward 6.0% 6.5% 8.7% 9.8% 8.0% 12.7% 11.7% 10.6% 11.3% 8.6% 5.0% 1.1%
David Manley 6.6% 8.4% 8.7% 9.0% 11.4% 9.9% 11.1% 11.8% 10.1% 7.1% 4.6% 1.3%
Axel Stordahl 19.6% 17.0% 14.5% 13.1% 12.0% 9.6% 5.9% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Cole Woerner 2.7% 2.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.8% 5.1% 6.5% 8.7% 12.2% 15.2% 19.7% 17.8%
Joey Meagher 16.4% 14.7% 12.2% 13.1% 9.6% 10.4% 9.2% 7.5% 3.8% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Eden Nykamp 10.5% 11.8% 14.0% 14.0% 11.8% 9.5% 11.8% 7.1% 6.4% 2.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Natalie Aramendia 0.8% 1.7% 1.2% 2.6% 1.3% 2.8% 2.3% 4.3% 8.6% 11.2% 19.4% 43.8%
Lewis Bragg 2.2% 1.9% 2.8% 2.5% 3.5% 5.0% 6.1% 9.2% 11.0% 19.4% 20.4% 16.0%
Carly Orhan 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 2.8% 2.7% 4.2% 5.6% 11.4% 11.5% 17.3% 20.8% 16.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.