Race 4B

saisa-coed-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Manley 6.3% 6.0% 7.2% 8.8% 9.1% 10.8% 15.1% 14.3% 11.7% 7.7% 2.1% 0.9%
Matthew King 4.1% 4.8% 5.7% 5.8% 8.8% 9.5% 10.6% 15.9% 16.0% 11.4% 5.7% 1.7%
Adam Larson 13.5% 11.5% 13.6% 13.4% 13.1% 13.1% 8.2% 7.2% 4.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Axel Stordahl 15.9% 17.0% 14.4% 15.1% 12.2% 9.6% 7.1% 5.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1%
Eden Nykamp 9.3% 12.0% 11.6% 11.0% 11.3% 12.0% 12.6% 9.0% 6.8% 3.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 13.5% 9.4% 15.1% 11.5% 12.3% 11.5% 11.0% 8.4% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Aidan Dennis 17.3% 18.2% 14.5% 14.8% 11.1% 8.6% 7.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Joey Meagher 14.3% 14.2% 11.1% 12.9% 11.7% 10.9% 10.0% 8.0% 4.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Jason Goldsmith 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.6% 3.3% 7.8% 14.4% 26.3% 39.0%
Lewis Bragg 2.0% 3.3% 2.8% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 7.2% 9.5% 16.6% 19.8% 18.6% 9.3%
Cole Woerner 2.1% 1.7% 2.4% 1.3% 3.5% 5.5% 5.6% 9.6% 15.2% 20.4% 18.8% 13.9%
Natalie Aramendia 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 4.5% 7.7% 16.1% 25.7% 34.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.