Race 5B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Larson 13.8% 11.6% 11.6% 14.4% 12.5% 12.7% 9.8% 7.4% 3.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Aidan Dennis 16.5% 18.2% 15.6% 12.5% 12.5% 9.5% 6.9% 5.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Axel Stordahl 17.3% 15.1% 14.0% 14.5% 11.9% 11.2% 7.6% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 3.4% 4.3% 7.5% 10.7% 15.9% 20.5% 17.5% 11.1%
Joey Meagher 12.8% 11.9% 14.4% 11.8% 12.2% 10.7% 10.0% 7.9% 5.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew King 4.6% 4.1% 6.9% 5.9% 6.7% 8.9% 12.1% 14.5% 16.4% 11.6% 7.0% 1.3%
Cole Woerner 2.1% 3.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 6.6% 9.0% 16.4% 19.7% 19.8% 10.9%
Sydney Monahan 13.8% 12.6% 13.1% 11.8% 10.0% 10.8% 11.0% 9.0% 4.7% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0%
David Manley 6.2% 7.6% 7.3% 9.5% 10.6% 12.4% 12.7% 13.4% 10.2% 7.5% 2.4% 0.2%
Eden Nykamp 9.9% 12.1% 10.3% 11.3% 13.5% 11.2% 10.4% 9.9% 6.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Natalie Aramendia 1.0% 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 4.7% 9.8% 13.6% 26.4% 35.1%
Jason Goldsmith 0.5% 1.0% 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.8% 2.8% 6.3% 14.9% 24.4% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.