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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.23+2.90vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University0.94+4.97vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.74+2.02vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.27+1.17vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina1.28+0.15vs Predicted
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7The Citadel0.11+1.79vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.27-4.24vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.00vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.67+0.24vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.07-1.87vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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6.97Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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5.02Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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4.42Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.17University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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6.15University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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8.79The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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3.76University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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9.0Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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10.24Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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9.13Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.43North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Stordahl | 17.1% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 1.6% |
| Eden Nykamp | 11.6% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.5% | 12.2% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| David Manley | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 19.7% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 15.0% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 44.6% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 19.0% |
| Adam Larson | 13.4% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.