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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Axel Stordahl 17.1% 15.8% 17.1% 12.9% 12.2% 10.5% 6.1% 4.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Matthew King 4.7% 4.7% 5.4% 7.3% 8.6% 9.7% 11.4% 11.2% 13.9% 13.5% 8.0% 1.6%
Eden Nykamp 11.6% 9.8% 11.4% 11.2% 12.3% 12.5% 11.0% 8.7% 7.3% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Joey Meagher 13.5% 12.2% 15.5% 13.7% 12.6% 10.7% 8.3% 7.0% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Andreas Keswater 6.0% 8.3% 7.5% 9.5% 10.1% 9.3% 13.3% 10.6% 11.4% 7.9% 4.8% 1.3%
David Manley 6.8% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 10.0% 10.0% 12.1% 13.2% 11.4% 7.8% 4.3% 0.8%
Lewis Bragg 2.6% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.2% 4.8% 7.0% 10.1% 11.9% 15.8% 18.4% 17.2%
Aidan Dennis 19.7% 18.4% 14.5% 12.4% 11.2% 9.8% 5.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Cole Woerner 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 3.3% 2.7% 5.1% 7.4% 9.8% 12.2% 17.3% 21.7% 15.0%
Natalie Aramendia 0.7% 0.9% 1.9% 2.5% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 4.5% 8.0% 10.8% 19.4% 44.6%
Carly Orhan 2.2% 2.0% 1.5% 2.7% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 8.7% 11.4% 18.0% 20.5% 19.0%
Adam Larson 13.4% 15.3% 12.5% 13.4% 11.7% 10.3% 9.8% 6.9% 4.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.