Race 8B

saisa-coed-champs

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew King 4.5% 5.9% 5.3% 6.1% 8.7% 8.6% 10.3% 12.1% 14.6% 12.9% 8.8% 2.2%
Aidan Dennis 16.1% 18.7% 16.9% 14.2% 10.8% 8.1% 6.7% 4.6% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
David Manley 7.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.5% 9.7% 11.4% 10.9% 14.2% 11.1% 7.7% 4.4% 0.4%
Axel Stordahl 16.9% 17.6% 15.0% 13.3% 12.3% 8.8% 7.4% 4.5% 3.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 1.9% 2.6% 2.5% 2.6% 4.5% 4.1% 7.5% 8.0% 13.5% 16.6% 19.5% 16.7%
Joey Meagher 14.5% 12.3% 13.6% 13.5% 10.9% 13.5% 8.7% 6.7% 3.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Carly Orhan 2.3% 3.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.5% 5.5% 7.5% 8.8% 10.2% 17.0% 20.7% 16.3%
Eden Nykamp 12.1% 10.4% 11.8% 12.3% 11.8% 10.7% 10.2% 9.7% 5.7% 3.6% 1.4% 0.3%
Cole Woerner 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 4.5% 4.8% 7.6% 9.1% 13.4% 15.9% 20.2% 16.6%
Andreas Keswater 7.5% 6.4% 8.6% 9.3% 8.2% 12.1% 11.1% 11.9% 11.4% 8.7% 3.8% 1.0%
Natalie Aramendia 1.6% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.8% 1.9% 3.4% 3.3% 7.4% 11.6% 19.8% 46.4%
Adam Larson 13.2% 13.3% 14.3% 13.8% 13.3% 10.5% 8.7% 7.1% 3.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.