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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+5.23vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.27+1.77vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+3.99vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.23-0.01vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.97-0.52vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.27+0.22vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.05+1.91vs Predicted
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8The Citadel0.11+0.78vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.74-4.10vs Predicted
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10Rollins College0.07-1.13vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.67-0.60vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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3.77University of Miami2.270.2%1st Place
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6.99Jacksonville University0.940.1%1st Place
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3.99College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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4.48Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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6.22University of South Florida1.270.1%1st Place
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8.91Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
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8.78The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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4.9Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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8.87Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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10.4Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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4.46North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 18.5% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 6.2% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Axel Stordahl | 16.3% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 14.9% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 17.3% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 14.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 21.0% | 15.8% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 19.3% | 47.1% |
| Adam Larson | 13.3% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.