Race 10B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Adam Larson 14.2% 13.0% 13.0% 14.0% 13.4% 11.5% 8.8% 5.5% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Joey Meagher 13.7% 15.3% 11.9% 13.7% 11.8% 11.4% 9.1% 7.4% 3.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew King 5.9% 3.9% 6.4% 8.0% 8.3% 8.5% 9.8% 12.7% 16.4% 11.3% 6.8% 2.0%
Sydney Monahan 12.4% 13.4% 14.7% 12.4% 12.4% 9.9% 9.1% 8.1% 4.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Axel Stordahl 19.3% 17.8% 14.3% 13.0% 10.4% 9.6% 7.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Lewis Bragg 2.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.7% 4.4% 4.2% 5.6% 8.3% 11.8% 19.0% 21.5% 14.2%
David Manley 8.1% 7.8% 9.0% 7.9% 10.5% 11.7% 10.4% 12.8% 10.0% 6.6% 3.7% 1.5%
Carly Orhan 2.0% 2.9% 3.0% 3.1% 4.3% 5.0% 6.5% 7.9% 12.5% 16.9% 19.1% 16.8%
Eden Nykamp 10.7% 12.5% 14.4% 11.6% 11.6% 12.5% 9.9% 8.1% 4.8% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Zachary Ward 8.0% 7.3% 6.9% 9.6% 8.6% 9.8% 12.9% 12.2% 11.2% 8.2% 4.3% 1.0%
Natalie Aramendia 1.3% 1.6% 0.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.0% 3.5% 3.6% 6.8% 10.4% 18.9% 48.8%
Cole Woerner 1.9% 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 7.0% 9.2% 11.4% 18.2% 22.9% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.