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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+0.92vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland2.09+1.57vs Predicted
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3Hampton University1.84+0.95vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.37+0.56vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.84-2.27vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61-2.73vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
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3.57University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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3.95Hampton University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.56William and Mary1.370.1%1st Place
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2.73George Washington University2.840.2%1st Place
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4.27Christopher Newport University1.610.1%1st Place
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1.92University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 47.0% | 28.5% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 10.7% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 18.8% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 24.3% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 5.0% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 37.4% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 22.0% | 27.3% | 22.9% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 6.3% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 24.2% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 47.0% | 28.5% | 13.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.