Race 11B

saisa-coed-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joey Meagher 14.0% 13.2% 12.8% 14.4% 13.4% 10.6% 8.6% 6.6% 3.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Sydney Monahan 12.9% 15.1% 11.9% 13.4% 13.2% 10.2% 7.4% 8.7% 4.6% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Axel Stordahl 19.7% 15.7% 15.8% 12.8% 12.0% 8.6% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Adam Larson 14.5% 14.8% 15.5% 13.5% 11.5% 10.0% 8.2% 5.9% 3.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Matthew King 4.7% 5.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.6% 9.6% 11.5% 11.2% 13.3% 11.4% 8.3% 3.2%
David Manley 7.8% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.4% 12.4% 12.0% 11.9% 11.7% 7.6% 4.2% 0.7%
Zachary Ward 7.7% 7.5% 9.3% 9.1% 10.3% 9.0% 10.3% 13.0% 10.3% 8.4% 3.0% 2.1%
Lewis Bragg 2.4% 2.6% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 8.8% 11.9% 16.4% 20.0% 15.4%
Carly Orhan 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 3.3% 3.5% 4.8% 7.5% 9.5% 13.8% 17.2% 18.9% 15.4%
Eden Nykamp 10.9% 12.2% 11.6% 11.3% 11.0% 13.8% 9.6% 8.4% 6.2% 3.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Natalie Aramendia 1.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 1.5% 3.9% 4.0% 7.2% 9.6% 19.7% 47.4%
Cole Woerner 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 4.5% 6.3% 7.3% 12.5% 19.3% 22.3% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.