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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
David Manley 7.3% 7.0% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 11.1% 11.8% 11.5% 11.0% 7.3% 5.1% 1.2%
Sydney Monahan 12.1% 14.5% 13.3% 13.0% 13.3% 11.2% 9.5% 5.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Axel Stordahl 19.9% 15.3% 15.4% 13.7% 11.2% 9.9% 8.5% 3.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Joey Meagher 13.8% 14.3% 13.5% 15.0% 12.3% 9.6% 8.3% 5.9% 4.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Adam Larson 14.2% 15.4% 13.9% 11.7% 13.7% 10.0% 8.1% 5.2% 4.2% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew King 4.8% 4.9% 7.2% 6.8% 7.2% 9.6% 10.8% 13.4% 14.2% 10.9% 8.0% 2.2%
Carly Orhan 2.2% 3.7% 2.3% 3.5% 3.7% 5.0% 5.8% 9.2% 11.8% 16.3% 19.7% 16.8%
Eden Nykamp 13.0% 11.5% 11.9% 12.2% 10.3% 10.6% 10.4% 9.3% 5.8% 2.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Lewis Bragg 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 5.5% 6.7% 11.2% 12.1% 18.1% 18.9% 14.3%
Zachary Ward 7.3% 7.4% 8.2% 9.2% 10.1% 10.3% 10.7% 12.7% 11.1% 8.0% 3.8% 1.2%
Natalie Aramendia 1.3% 1.1% 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 3.1% 3.9% 7.1% 10.9% 18.3% 48.3%
Cole Woerner 2.4% 2.8% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 5.1% 6.3% 8.0% 11.9% 18.5% 21.8% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.