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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Carolina1.28+5.13vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.91+2.48vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.23+0.79vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.97+0.36vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University2.01-0.65vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+0.91vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.07+1.81vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.74-3.13vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.11-0.16vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.24-3.92vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.67-0.61vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology0.05-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13University of South Carolina1.280.1%1st Place
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4.48University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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3.79College of Charleston2.230.2%1st Place
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4.36Florida State University1.970.1%1st Place
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4.35North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.91Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.81Rollins College0.070.0%1st Place
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4.87Eckerd College1.740.1%1st Place
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8.84The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Miami1.240.1%1st Place
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10.39Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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8.99Georgia Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Manley | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Sydney Monahan | 12.1% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Axel Stordahl | 19.9% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew King | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Carly Orhan | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 14.3% |
| Zachary Ward | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 48.3% |
| Cole Woerner | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 21.8% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.