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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+1.10vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.65+1.35vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.95+1.52vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.24+0.04vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston0.48+0.22vs Predicted
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6Florida State University0.97-1.58vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.85-2.32vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Jacksonville University2.550.4%1st Place
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3.35North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.52Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.04University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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5.22College of Charleston0.480.0%1st Place
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4.42Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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7.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 43.9% | 25.0% | 16.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 16.4% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 2.3% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 9.9% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 1.4% |
| Rowan Schanley | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 30.0% | 4.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 2.2% |
| Ashley Delisser | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 18.8% | 3.1% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 0.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 86.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.