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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.55+1.10vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.97+2.50vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.65+0.35vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.95+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.24-1.02vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.85-1.39vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston0.48-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Jacksonville University2.550.4%1st Place
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4.5Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.35North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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4.52Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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3.98University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.61University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston0.480.0%1st Place
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7.67University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 43.6% | 27.4% | 13.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 19.7% | 13.9% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Sowa | 16.7% | 20.0% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 7.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 1.8% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.6% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 0.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 8.0% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 2.5% |
| Rowan Schanley | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 31.3% | 5.3% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 86.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.