← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.55+1.20vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida1.24+2.25vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.40+0.97vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.65-0.39vs Predicted
-
5Duke University0.95-0.30vs Predicted
-
6University of Miami0.85-1.16vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.97-2.28vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.2Jacksonville University2.550.4%1st Place
-
4.25University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
-
3.97College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
-
3.61North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.7Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
-
4.84University of Miami0.850.1%1st Place
-
4.72Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
-
7.72University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Rose | 41.5% | 25.6% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 9.1% | 13.3% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 2.2% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 12.2% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 14.5% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 0.9% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 7.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 1.9% |
| Ashley Delisser | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 24.1% | 2.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 21.5% | 2.8% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 88.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.