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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.40+2.66vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.24+1.98vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.55-0.87vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.95+0.43vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.97-0.57vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.65-2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Miami-0.62-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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3.98University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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2.13Jacksonville University2.550.4%1st Place
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4.43Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.43Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.29North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kiera Oreardon | 13.8% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 10.6% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte Rose | 41.2% | 26.7% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolina Cassedy | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 16.9% | 18.0% | 22.4% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Katie Nelson | 7.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 22.7% | 10.3% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Sowa | 17.3% | 19.9% | 18.9% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 49.3% | 22.1% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 16.6% | 74.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.