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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Duke University0.95+3.37vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.55+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.24+0.93vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.62+1.53vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.40-2.33vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65-3.63vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.88-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37Duke University0.950.1%1st Place
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2.17Jacksonville University2.550.4%1st Place
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3.93University of South Florida1.240.1%1st Place
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4.41Florida State University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Miami-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.67College of Charleston1.400.1%1st Place
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3.37North Carolina State University1.650.2%1st Place
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7.56University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolina Cassedy | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 18.7% | 21.5% | 10.3% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte Rose | 39.1% | 28.8% | 16.3% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 12.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 15.7% | 6.0% | 0.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 20.3% | 11.3% | 1.6% |
| Julianna Skoglund | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 12.1% | 50.5% | 21.0% |
| Kiera Oreardon | 13.1% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 17.0% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jane Caroline Minchew | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 15.9% | 75.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.