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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+2.81vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+5.00vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.89vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+3.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+2.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.66vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+0.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.85-4.00vs Predicted
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12McGill University0.41-0.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.51vs Predicted
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14Bates College-0.67+1.18vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.45-7.21vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.83-0.74vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.52-3.98vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University0.49-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Boston College2.0911.8%1st Place
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3.62Yale University2.7123.4%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.179.5%1st Place
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9.0University of Rhode Island0.994.0%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.698.2%1st Place
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9.0Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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9.69Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.155.8%1st Place
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11.66University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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10.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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7.0Brown University1.858.0%1st Place
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11.38McGill University0.412.5%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.3%1st Place
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15.18Bates College-0.670.6%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College1.456.3%1st Place
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15.26Boston University-0.830.6%1st Place
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13.02Connecticut College0.521.3%1st Place
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11.39Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 23.4% | 18.8% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 35.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marguerite Bowen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 20.7% | 35.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 10.3% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.