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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+2.04vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+0.82vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.17+0.50vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.91-1.51vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.31+0.70vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.67+0.15vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.11-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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2.82Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.5College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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2.49University of South Florida1.910.3%1st Place
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5.7University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.15Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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5.14Florida State University0.110.0%1st Place
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7.16University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 21.0% | 21.2% | 19.1% | 19.6% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 23.4% | 22.7% | 23.3% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 14.6% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 22.0% | 17.6% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Sydney Monahan | 30.2% | 25.5% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 16.1% | 25.3% | 26.2% | 11.7% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 30.0% | 21.5% |
| Kathleen Lojko | 4.8% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 24.8% | 17.3% | 6.4% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 20.8% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.