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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+1.77vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.46+1.12vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.91-0.54vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.11+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.31+0.70vs Predicted
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6Duke University-0.67+0.14vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.17-3.44vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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3.12North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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2.46University of South Florida1.910.3%1st Place
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5.09Florida State University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.14Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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3.56College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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7.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 24.7% | 23.5% | 21.6% | 16.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 18.2% | 20.4% | 22.8% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 31.8% | 25.0% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Lojko | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 6.4% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 24.8% | 27.0% | 11.2% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 14.5% | 19.7% | 30.1% | 21.5% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 14.6% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 20.5% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.