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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.91+1.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.17+1.54vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.65-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.31+1.67vs Predicted
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5Florida State University0.11+0.10vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.46-2.93vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.67-0.81vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44University of South Florida1.910.3%1st Place
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3.54College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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2.8Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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5.67University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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5.1Florida State University0.110.0%1st Place
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3.07North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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6.19Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.18University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Monahan | 32.5% | 25.9% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 13.8% | 16.1% | 19.2% | 21.0% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 23.6% | 22.4% | 23.5% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 16.7% | 25.8% | 24.1% | 12.6% |
| Kathleen Lojko | 4.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 24.2% | 18.1% | 4.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 19.3% | 21.5% | 19.3% | 20.6% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 20.2% | 31.4% | 22.7% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 59.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.