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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.46+2.04vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.91+0.50vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.17+0.50vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.11+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Miami-0.31+0.71vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.65-3.19vs Predicted
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7Duke University-0.67-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04North Carolina State University1.460.2%1st Place
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2.5University of South Florida1.910.3%1st Place
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3.5College of Charleston1.170.1%1st Place
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5.1Florida State University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Miami-0.310.0%1st Place
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2.81Jacksonville University1.650.2%1st Place
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6.2Duke University-0.670.0%1st Place
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7.15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella du Plessis | 21.2% | 20.5% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 29.6% | 26.4% | 21.5% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Fredrikke Foss | 14.9% | 15.3% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Lojko | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 23.3% | 17.4% | 6.1% |
| Sandra Heilshorn | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 16.0% | 27.8% | 25.1% | 11.6% |
| Emily Allen | 23.3% | 23.7% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Aramendia | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 31.4% | 22.8% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 20.2% | 59.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.