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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.63vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+7.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.33vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.15+4.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+2.00vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+5.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+2.71vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.99+0.86vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.37vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-4.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.27vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52+0.99vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.67+2.26vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-2.52vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.45-7.23vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.85-9.01vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.41-5.32vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.83-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63Yale University2.7122.1%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University1.183.5%1st Place
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5.33Boston College2.0912.4%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University1.155.5%1st Place
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7.0Brown University1.697.6%1st Place
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11.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.6%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University0.933.7%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island0.994.6%1st Place
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11.37University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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5.63Harvard University2.1711.4%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.1%1st Place
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12.99Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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15.26Bates College-0.670.4%1st Place
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11.48Roger Williams University0.492.6%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College1.456.1%1st Place
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6.99Brown University1.858.0%1st Place
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11.68McGill University0.412.2%1st Place
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15.13Boston University-0.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 22.1% | 20.0% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.3% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 36.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.5% |
| Marguerite Bowen | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 21.7% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.