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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland2.09+1.56vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.61+1.21vs Predicted
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5William and Mary1.37-0.43vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.84-3.26vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.84-3.02vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
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3.56University of Maryland2.090.1%1st Place
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4.21Christopher Newport University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.57William and Mary1.370.0%1st Place
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2.74George Washington University2.840.2%1st Place
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3.98Hampton University1.840.1%1st Place
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1.94University of Virginia3.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 46.6% | 28.2% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Russell Cramer | 10.9% | 17.0% | 19.7% | 21.9% | 18.5% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 24.1% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Bill Parker | 4.9% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 21.8% | 37.7% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 22.3% | 26.3% | 22.7% | 15.7% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Shoemaker | 8.0% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 46.6% | 28.2% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.