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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+5.01vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.91+8.66vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.24vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.79+9.97vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.03+4.84vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.20+3.36vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.11+2.61vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-2.45vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-4.90vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.18-0.37vs Predicted
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11William and Mary0.21+4.58vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.74-4.46vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.62-5.41vs Predicted
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14Princeton University2.35-5.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.73-4.01vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.16-6.51vs Predicted
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17Virginia Tech0.18-1.35vs Predicted
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18Hampton University1.77-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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10.66Webb Institute1.910.0%1st Place
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6.24SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.97Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania2.030.0%1st Place
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9.36Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.61Washington College2.110.0%1st Place
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5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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4.1Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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9.63Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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15.58William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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7.54George Washington University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.59Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.46Princeton University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.730.0%1st Place
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9.49Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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15.65Virginia Tech0.180.0%1st Place
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10.73Hampton University1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rayne Duff | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Grace | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 20.6% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 24.4% | 36.7% |
| Michael Ehnot | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Edward Cook | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| John McKenna | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Clayton Snyder | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Young | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 22.4% | 38.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.