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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+0.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+2.97vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.52+8.09vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.45+1.88vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.09-1.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15+0.65vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49+2.30vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-0.90vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-1.89vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.48-0.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-4.24vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.41-3.54vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.67-0.85vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-6.04vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.48-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Harvard University2.1711.8%1st Place
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6.92Brown University1.856.7%1st Place
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3.66Yale University2.7123.5%1st Place
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6.97Brown University1.697.6%1st Place
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13.09Connecticut College0.521.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College1.455.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.0911.8%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.154.8%1st Place
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11.3Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
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9.1Northeastern University1.183.9%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island0.994.7%1st Place
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11.59University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.0%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University0.933.3%1st Place
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11.46McGill University0.412.1%1st Place
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15.15Bates College-0.670.6%1st Place
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10.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.2%1st Place
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14.57Boston University-0.480.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 23.5% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 17.6% | 38.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.