Race 3 - women-pcc-fleet-race | College Sailing Data

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%

Within 2 Positions

1.4

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Kingsley Ehrich & Lindsea Hayes

University of California at Berkeley

0.73

+2.10

vs Predicted
2

Mercy Tangredi & Kelsie Grant

University of Hawaii

1.15

+0.75

vs Predicted
3

Michelle Lahrkamp & Patricia Gerli

Stanford University

2.99

-1.62

vs Predicted
4

Molly Coghlin & Kaitlin Chan

University of California at Santa Barbara

1.10

-1.23

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

3.1

Kingsley Ehrich & Lindsea Hayes

University of California at Berkeley

0.73

0.1%

1st Place
2.75

Mercy Tangredi & Kelsie Grant

University of Hawaii

1.15

0.1%

1st Place
1.38

Michelle Lahrkamp & Patricia Gerli

Stanford University

2.99

0.7%

1st Place
2.77

Molly Coghlin & Kaitlin Chan

University of California at Santa Barbara

1.10

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Kingsley Ehrich	6.7%	20.7%	28.1%	44.5%
Mercy Tangredi	12.2%	26.8%	34.9%	26.1%
Michelle Lahrkamp	70.1%	22.9%	5.9%	1.1%
Molly Coghlin	11.0%	29.6%	31.1%	28.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.