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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.55vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+7.90vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.15+4.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+0.80vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.09-0.62vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.45+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.85-2.04vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-0.91vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-1.35vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.84vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.49-1.64vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-1.18vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.22vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.41-4.37vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.67-1.66vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.48-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Yale University2.7121.5%1st Place
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6.87Brown University1.697.6%1st Place
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10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.2%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University1.154.4%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.1711.2%1st Place
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5.38Boston College2.0912.7%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College1.456.5%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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6.96Brown University1.858.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University0.933.3%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University1.184.3%1st Place
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11.36Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
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12.82Connecticut College0.521.6%1st Place
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9.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.5%1st Place
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11.63McGill University0.411.8%1st Place
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15.34Bates College-0.670.5%1st Place
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14.61Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.5% | 21.5% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.7% | 39.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.