Race 5 - women-pcc-fleet-race | College Sailing Data

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%

Within 2 Positions

0.6

Avg Position Diff

4

Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

1

Stephanie Houck & Gwendolyn Donahue

Stanford University

2.62

+0.47

vs Predicted
2

Mercy Tangredi & Kelsie Grant

University of Hawaii

1.15

+0.69

vs Predicted
3

Molly Coghlin & Kaitlin Chan

University of California at Santa Barbara

1.10

-0.22

vs Predicted
4

Kingsley Ehrich & Lindsea Hayes

University of California at Berkeley

0.73

-0.94

vs Predicted

🎯 Predicted Standings

1.47

Stephanie Houck & Gwendolyn Donahue

Stanford University

2.62

0.6%

1st Place
2.69

Mercy Tangredi & Kelsie Grant

University of Hawaii

1.15

0.1%

1st Place
2.78

Molly Coghlin & Kaitlin Chan

University of California at Santa Barbara

1.10

0.1%

1st Place
3.06

Kingsley Ehrich & Lindsea Hayes

University of California at Berkeley

0.73

0.1%

1st Place

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper	1	2	3	4
Stephanie Houck	64.7%	26.1%	7.2%	2.0%
Mercy Tangredi	13.6%	29.2%	31.6%	25.6%
Molly Coghlin	13.5%	25.1%	31.3%	30.1%
Kingsley Ehrich	8.2%	19.6%	29.9%	42.3%

Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.