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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.50vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.83vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+6.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.17+1.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.15+3.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.71-2.36vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.41+4.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+2.93vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.69-2.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.20vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.48+0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.99-3.08vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.45-4.96vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University0.49-2.52vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-1.86vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.93-6.23vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.67-1.87vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.48-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Boston College2.0911.2%1st Place
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6.83Brown University1.858.2%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University1.184.1%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.1710.8%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University1.155.1%1st Place
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3.64Yale University2.7122.7%1st Place
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11.48McGill University0.412.8%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.7%1st Place
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6.85Brown University1.697.8%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Vermont0.482.3%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College1.455.5%1st Place
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11.48Roger Williams University0.492.5%1st Place
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13.14Connecticut College0.521.4%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University0.934.0%1st Place
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15.13Bates College-0.670.6%1st Place
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14.29Boston University-0.480.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 22.7% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 12.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 16.9% | 39.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 19.0% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.