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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.57+5.67vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.60+3.65vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.13+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.00+0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.46+0.32vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-3.35vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.19-2.51vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.79-2.00vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-1.03-2.30vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-1.45-5.17vs Predicted
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15University of Washington-3.76-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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4.08Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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6.65University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.84Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.15University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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5.49Western Washington University-0.190.1%1st Place
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7.0Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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7.7Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Washington-1.450.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Washington-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kira Blumhagen | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Stier | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Avey | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 0.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 20.2% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hatcher Cox | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 18.1% | 2.4% |
| Judah Wong | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 32.7% | 6.3% |
| Zoe Zoghlin | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 87.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.