← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.62+2.73vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.00+3.19vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University0.13+1.81vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington-0.60+2.69vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University0.43-0.87vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.19-0.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Oregon-0.46-0.77vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.79-0.94vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.57-2.56vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University-1.03-3.33vs Predicted
-
14University of Washington-1.45-5.18vs Predicted
-
15University of Washington-3.76-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.73University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
-
5.19University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
-
4.81Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
-
6.69University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.13Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
-
5.62Western Washington University-0.190.1%1st Place
-
6.23University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
-
7.06Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
6.44Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
-
7.67Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
-
8.82University of Washington-1.450.0%1st Place
-
11.61University of Washington-3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin Pamplin | 20.2% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 9.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 13.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Henry Stier | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 16.3% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hatcher Cox | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Emily Avey | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 1.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 2.3% |
| Judah Wong | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 33.8% | 6.0% |
| Zoe Zoghlin | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.