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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.79+6.26vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.00+3.07vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.19+2.71vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.13-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.60+0.61vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.03+0.69vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-4.47vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.45-0.53vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon-0.46-4.61vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.43-9.00vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.57-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.26Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.71Western Washington University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.92Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.69Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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3.53University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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8.47University of Washington-1.450.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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6.35Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Dodd | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 12.7% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 10.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Hatcher Cox | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Burzycki | 12.9% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Henry Stier | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 20.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 21.3% | 20.9% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Judah Wong | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 34.9% |
| Emily Avey | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 7.3% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 18.1% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.