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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+2.61vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+8.79vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.39vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+5.11vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.91vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.85+0.94vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+5.86vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.51vs Predicted
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9Bates College-0.67+6.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.49+1.18vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.45-2.97vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-2.91vs Predicted
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13McGill University0.41-1.39vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.93-4.33vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.83+0.34vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.17-10.27vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.15-8.45vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-8.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Yale University2.7123.5%1st Place
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10.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.8%1st Place
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5.39Boston College2.0911.6%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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6.91Brown University1.697.8%1st Place
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6.94Brown University1.857.2%1st Place
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12.86Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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11.51University of Vermont0.481.8%1st Place
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15.25Bates College-0.670.6%1st Place
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11.18Roger Williams University0.492.2%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College1.455.0%1st Place
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9.09Northeastern University1.184.8%1st Place
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11.61McGill University0.412.2%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University0.933.6%1st Place
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15.34Boston University-0.830.5%1st Place
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5.73Harvard University2.1711.8%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University1.155.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.854.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 23.5% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 9.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 21.8% | 34.4% |
| Katherine McGagh | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Lau | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Marguerite Bowen | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 35.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.