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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.13+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-1.45+6.62vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.00+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.60+1.79vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.03+1.66vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-0.46vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.46-2.89vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.19-5.56vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.43-7.85vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.62-9.41vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.79-7.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88Western Washington University0.130.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Washington-1.450.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
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7.66Western Washington University-1.030.0%1st Place
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6.54Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.44Western Washington University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.15Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Washington0.620.2%1st Place
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6.96Western Washington University-0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Burzycki | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Judah Wong | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 17.0% | 36.4% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Henry Stier | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 9.1% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 19.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Emily Avey | 8.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Hatcher Cox | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 15.9% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 22.8% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.