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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.43+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.00+0.93vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.03+1.72vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-2.12vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-0.46-3.21vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.19-4.75vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-1.45-3.56vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.60-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.08Western Washington University0.430.2%1st Place
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3.93University of Washington-0.000.1%1st Place
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5.72Western Washington University-1.030.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Washington0.620.3%1st Place
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4.79University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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4.25Western Washington University-0.190.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Washington-1.450.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 23.5% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 13.5% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 22.1% | 25.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 26.5% | 23.1% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Emily Avey | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 9.2% |
| Hatcher Cox | 12.1% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 5.8% |
| Judah Wong | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 44.1% |
| Henry Stier | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.