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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University0.43+0.67vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-1.03+1.60vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.46-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-4.62vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.00-4.65vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.60-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Western Washington University0.430.3%1st Place
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4.6Western Washington University-1.030.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Oregon-0.460.1%1st Place
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2.38University of Washington0.620.3%1st Place
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3.35University of Washington-0.000.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Washington-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nolasco | 27.0% | 24.1% | 21.3% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Lindburg | 5.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 20.2% | 41.8% |
| Emily Avey | 10.8% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 20.2% | 24.3% | 18.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 33.0% | 25.8% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Pentimonti | 15.4% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 11.0% |
| Henry Stier | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 19.9% | 24.9% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.