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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.25+3.76vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.00+3.31vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.41+1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.01+1.45vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09+0.50vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.68+1.00vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.14-2.26vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.60-0.18vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.01-3.21vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-1.18-5.00vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.38-9.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76University of Washington0.250.1%1st Place
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5.31Western Washington University-0.000.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.410.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.0Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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7.79Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Washington-1.180.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Washington0.380.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zackery Martin | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Dalton Lovett | 14.0% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Emily Smith | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 10.3% |
| Kevin Hicks | 13.3% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 38.5% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 23.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 16.3% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.