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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.41+2.91vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.38+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.01+1.84vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.09-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-1.18+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.25-3.80vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.68-2.67vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.14-5.56vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-1.01-4.01vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-1.60-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Washington0.380.2%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Washington-1.180.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Washington0.250.2%1st Place
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6.33Western Washington University-0.680.0%1st Place
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4.44Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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6.99Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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8.11University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalton Lovett | 18.2% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 16.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 12.5% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Emily Smith | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 23.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 15.9% | 13.6% | 14.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 9.6% |
| Kevin Hicks | 12.8% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 16.6% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 19.5% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.