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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.25+3.21vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.41+1.88vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.38+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.18+3.36vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.60+3.00vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.68+0.27vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.01-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.01-6.31vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.14-7.54vs Predicted
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13University of Washington-0.09-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Washington0.250.2%1st Place
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3.88Western Washington University0.410.2%1st Place
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4.03University of Washington0.380.2%1st Place
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7.36University of Washington-1.180.0%1st Place
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8.0University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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6.27Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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7.07Western Washington University-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington0.010.1%1st Place
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4.46Western Washington University0.140.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zackery Martin | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Dalton Lovett | 18.1% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Aragorn Crozier | 16.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 20.9% | 22.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 18.5% | 41.7% |
| Cooper Snell | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 8.8% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 10.7% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Kevin Hicks | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Emily Smith | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.