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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.38+1.56vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.25+0.68vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-1.60+0.96vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.01-4.00vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.09-4.77vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.18-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.56University of Washington0.380.3%1st Place
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2.68University of Washington0.250.3%1st Place
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4.96University of Oregon-1.600.0%1st Place
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3.0University of Washington0.010.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Washington-0.090.2%1st Place
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4.56University of Washington-1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aragorn Crozier | 28.1% | 25.1% | 21.2% | 16.0% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 26.1% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 10.2% | 22.0% | 52.0% |
| Samuel Delasanta | 20.1% | 19.2% | 22.3% | 21.5% | 12.7% | 4.2% |
| Emily Smith | 16.4% | 19.2% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 17.9% | 6.7% |
| Jenna Hiegel | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 31.1% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.