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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.09+4.43vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+1.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.85+3.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.45+3.80vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18+3.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+2.58vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.69-0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.42vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+1.88vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.52+2.80vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.99-2.05vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.17-6.24vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.93-3.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.25vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.49-3.44vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.41-4.41vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.67-1.83vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.83-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Boston College2.0911.9%1st Place
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3.71Yale University2.7122.9%1st Place
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6.89Brown University1.857.6%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College1.455.9%1st Place
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8.96Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University1.155.2%1st Place
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6.86Brown University1.698.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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10.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.752.9%1st Place
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12.8Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
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8.95University of Rhode Island0.994.9%1st Place
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5.76Harvard University2.1711.9%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University0.933.5%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
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11.56Roger Williams University0.491.6%1st Place
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11.59McGill University0.411.5%1st Place
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15.17Bates College-0.670.7%1st Place
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15.33Boston University-0.830.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 22.9% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Hamilton | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Drulard | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Brooke Barry | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 10.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Amanda Yolles | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 20.3% | 35.2% |
| Marguerite Bowen | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 18.9% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.